Amos and also Nate Silver’s Elo tie for the week, and Bing regains some lost ground.
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For those just joining, Amos is a statistics model developed to guess the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos right now predicts gamings straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season come compute the ending record of every team.
Amos likewise has partner within the NFL prediction field. If there are a variety of sources for game predictions, i have identified Microsoft’s ice Prediction (Cortana), ESPN’s Football strength Index (FPI) and Nate Silver’s Elo as benchmarks because that comparison to Amos.
Amos walk 9-5, having misses of Buffalo, Indianapolis, Pittsburgh, san Diego and also Dallas.
ESPN’s FPI walk 8-6, having misses of Buffalo, Tennessee, Indianapolis, Detroit, mountain Diego and also Dallas.
Microsoft’s Bing walk 10-4, i beg your pardon is only its 2nd time finishing a week over the various other models, having actually misses of Buffalo, Indianapolis, Pittsburgh and San Diego.
Nate Silver’s Elo go 9-5, having misses of Buffalo, Indianapolis, brand-new Orleans and San Diego. Unfortunately, Elo walk not have a pick for the Minnesota and Detroit video game which will be counted against it.
Moving onto mainly 8 picks, ESPN’s FPI is phone call for part upsets. However, the main toss increase is Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh this week.
Amos’ choose this week space no surprises except Amos continues to have faith and also is favoring Dallas by less than 1% (actually 50.008%).
ESPN FPI is predicting some upsets this week through favoring Detroit end Kansas City (53%), Chicago end Minnesota (55%), and Indianapolis end Carolina (56%). FPI is likewise on the fence end Dallas vs Seattle, yet is leaning contempt to Seattle.
Microsoft’s Bing has two deviations native the other models which room Cincinnati end Pittsburgh (52%) and also Oakland end NY jet (53%).
Nate Silver’s Elo has actually the very same predictions together Amos and Bing, however Elo, lot like Amos, has actually predicted ideal at 50% for the Cincinnati at Pittsburgh game. Elo has actually taken the Pittsburgh pick.
Finally, native the performances of every of the teams, Amos has actually simulated the rest of the season. The large gainer this main is Kansas City, who had the ability to pick increase 2 an ext wins for the season. The biggest losers this week are Dallas and San Diego, which must not be how amazing after the loser this week.
See the outcomes below and also each team’s change from the critical week.
Week 1: 11-5
Week 2: 9-7
Week 3: 11-5
Week 4: 9-6
Week 5: 10-4
Week 6: 10-4
Week 7: 9-5
Week 9: 7-6
HALFTIME REPORT & Week 10: 5-9
Week 11: 10-4
Week 12: 9-7
Week 13: 11-5
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 14-2
Week 16: 7-9
Week 17: 9-7
Update: A reader mentioned that Nate Silver’s Elo go indeed have actually a pick for the Cincinnati in ~ Pittsburgh game. This has actually been included and updated in every charts and also graphs.
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Update: Bing readjusted its choose from NY jets to Oakland. This has actually been added and updated in every charts and graphs.