Every NFL player will at some point have a narrative enclosed to their name. Breeze position, on-field performance or merely having a good public relations team on your side are simply some of the factors that can play a role in that narrative: a nutshell synopsis that, for better or worse, clings come them. The fraternity that NFL quarterbacks is no different and not uneven a high institution popularity contest. Some are the cool kids, men that deserve to seemingly perform no wrong in spite of their missteps, when others are destined to be picked last for dodgeball every job in gym class. By focusing on progressed stats, metrics and also analytics player profiles, we deserve to use this (often faulty) narratives come our advantage and include value to our fantasy rosters.

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Price Tag

As the location suggests, the 2 players up because that comparison right here are Jameis Winston and Blake Bortles. Bortles has actually been related to as the “garbage time king,” the butt of every joke and also the epitome of the errant practice pass. Meanwhile, Jameis Winston is the talent-oozing young gunslinger who just needs a tools upgrade to come to be Tampa Bay’s elite franchise signal caller. Prior to the 2017 season, the median draft place (ADP) for these 2 players in dynasty fantasy football could not have been additional apart.

In one quarterback leagues, Winston was commonly the fifth quarterback off the board, v an ADP that 5.04 every FantasyFooballCalculator.com. Bortles to be the 25th quarterback selected ~ above average, usually approximately the start of the 14th ring (14.03 ADP). In two quarterback or superflex leagues, the needle right moved, as Winston was favored as the 11th quarterback on average in the fourth round (4.04), and Bortles to be the 26th quarterback plucked native the breeze in the 11th ring (11.07). For two players who are virtually identical in so numerous statistical aspects, the begs the question. Room there really 15-20 QBs or seven to nine rounds of draft stock separating these two players?

Who space They Really?

Quarterbacks with such a stark difference in fantasy draft resources must be separated through a enormous talent chasm, right? that is what their storylines would certainly lead you to believe, but it’s simply not true. While conveniently glancing at their workout metrics, these two players have eerily comparable athletic profiles.


Blake Bortles progressed Stats Metrics profile

The similarity don’t end when the stopwatch is placed away. Native 2015 to 2017, among the 24 quarterbacks with at the very least 1,000 happen attempts, Blake Bortles and also Jameis Winston are joined in ~ the i know good in numerous categories. Their touchdown percentages ranked No. 17 and No. 18 respectively and their completion percentages ranked No. 21 and No. 22 respectively. Bortles and also Winston additionally boast the third- and also fifth-worst interception percentages over the past three seasons. In 2017, both quarterbacks finished in the top 5 in Interceptable Passes, with Winston totaling the second-most (32) and Bortles at fourth (28). Both players likewise struggled throwing the round downfield, shown by Deep sphere Completion Percentages outside the top 30 in 2017. Despite these two rubbing elbow in countless statistical departments, Winston is still related to in countless circles together a supreme “arm talent” and also gifted passer, vice versa, Bortles is the inaccurate author of the airball.

Konami Code: Facts vs. Fiction

Shout the end to Rotoworld’s wealthy Hribar, who coined the ax Komani code as quick hand because that discounted to run quarterbacks who rushing production offers a bankable source of cheap fantasy points. And beyond the Bortles-Winston passing video game comparables, the area in which Bortles separates self from Winston is rushing production.

Blake Bortles: 1,410 career rushing yards in four seasons (352.5 yards/season average)

Jameis Winston: 516 career rushing yards in three seasons (172 yards/season average)

After making a splash during his rookie season with six rushing touchdowns, Jameis Winston has actually seen that full dwindle to merely two end the last two seasons. Winston has coincidentally likewise watched his rushing attempts and also rushing yards emboldened every season to a paltry 33 attempts and also 135 yards which both ranked 18th amongst quarterbacks. To additional put this in context, SPARQ “phenom” Trevor Siemian amassed 127 rushing yards top top 31 carries and also matched Winston’s single rushing touchdown. As soon as Winston has actually tucked the ball into his side, he has actually not listed any greater efficiency or huge play capability to counter the diminished volume or red region involvement.

In contrast, Blake Bortles has displayed a high floor about rushing production, notching at least 310 yards and two touchdowns in every of the past three seasons. The rushing volume because that Bortles has remained steady, regardless of working through three different offensive coordinators, as he has actually quietly ranked no lower than saturday in rushing yards amongst quarterbacks in any kind of season. The fantasy rise that he has actually received from running consistently and also efficiently is tangible, together he has actually outscored Winston in fantasy clues per video game in each of their three seasons in the league together.


The common sports media narratives perform not totally reflect their intrinsic fantasy football values. In regards to age, their value have to be linear due to the fact that while Bortles is 2 years older than Winston (age 26 contrasted to 24), that is a far cry indigenous considering a player to be ancient, particularly at the quarterback position in dynasty. Blake Bortles has had moments of elite fantasy manufacturing as a top-five fantasy quarterback in 2015 v his floor stable in as a luxury QB2 over the last two seasons.


While that true Jameis Winston has never videotaped a height 12 all at once finish, periods in which players miss games because of injury, i.e. Winston’s 2017, have the right to be misleading when just glancing in ~ the end of the year results. Throughout the 11 games Winston play fully, he average 19.2 fantasy points every game, i m sorry in season-long rankings would ar him fifth among quarterbacks. Winston has presented intermittent flashes of fulfilling the promise that plenty of have forecasted due to the fact that his draft.

Considering his all at once track record, can Winston reach the upper echelon that fantasy elite? Yes, that is in ~ his range of outcomes, however for all of his potential, the present price tags Winston tote in startups or empire trades outweighs his value. Other quarterbacks that offer a comparable mix that youth and upside, and the insulation the a irreversible contract (like Derek Carr) carry a lower draft and also trade cost. Staring down totally free agency in 2020, and possibly sooner if his fifth-year choice is not picked up, the Buccaneers could decide to relocate on native Winston if the does not begin “eating some much more Ws” and end your playoff drought. The time to cash in on Winston might be now.

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Check out Blake Bortles & Jameis Winston on urbanbreathnyc.com’s Updated dynasty Rankings:


Blake Bortles is not the disastrous fantasy one-liner we have been resulted in believe. Bortles is an underrated fantasy asset given his youth (age 26), later round ADP, upgrades come his attack line in the signing that Andrew Norwell, and the overall enhancement of talent because that the passing game with enhancements of Donte Moncrief and also Austin Seferian-Jenkins. Walk the loss of Allen Robinson aid his outlook because that the 2018 season? No, but Blake Bortles was the seventh-ranked quarterback in fantasy over the second fifty percent of the 2017 season without Robinson. Through the enhancements made come the offense roughly him, Bortles deserve to maintain his standing as a low-end QB1/high finish QB2 that can be attained cheaply in trades and the center rounds of dynasty drafts.